GeminiKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Democratic Party 57.8%Marj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺4,9 B
Likidite
—
Likidite bilinmiyorAlış / Satış
59.0% / 60.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadİşlemciler
0
Piyasa verileri
2 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Ara 25 16:08 UTC1 Şub 27 00:00 UTC
Trendler
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- This contract resolves based on whether the the named outcome controls the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections held on Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
- Control is defined as holding the most seats in the Senate based on final, official results.
- A majority consists of at least 51 seats.
- If two parties hold the same number of seats, control is determined by which party enters government, including consideration of the Vice President’s tie-breaking role.
- Independents who formally caucus with a party are treated as members of that party.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Bu piyasayı şu anda 4 platform fiyatlıyor. CoinRithm'in Democratic Party için likidite ağırlıklı referans olasılığı %60. Kotasyonlar en uçtaki platformlar arasında yaklaşık 2 puan fark gösteriyor.
CoinRithm referansı Democratic Party 60% · 4 platform · 2 puan venue farkı
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Which party will win the U.S. Senate? · Democratic Party 58%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Which party will win the Senate in 2026? · Democratic Party 61%
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.2pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mr
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-30.3pt52.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+32.5pt46.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
- 24s Hacim
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59%
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
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+21 daha fazla sonuç
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Gemini, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Democratic Party için 58% fiyatlıyor.
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Şubat 2027.
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Gemini bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Limitless, Kalshi, Polymarket.