Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Labour Party 39.5%6 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
56 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺92,2 B
Likidite
—
Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadİşlemciler
0
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
15 Ağu 29 12:00 UTC1 Oca 31 00:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiKurallar
Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes.
- Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons.
- This event is mutually exclusive.
- If the the named outcome receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.6pt15%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺97,4 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺35,1 Mn
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-31.9pt53.1%
- Delcy Rodríguez+32.0pt45.9%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.4pt93%
- Yes-1.4pt7%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,4 Mn
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom14.7%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺24 Mn
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Which party will win the next UK general election? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Gemini, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Labour Party için 40% fiyatlıyor.
- Which party will win the next UK general election? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Which party will win the next UK general election? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- Which party will win the next UK general election? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Gemini bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes.
- Which party will win the next UK general election? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi, Manifold Markets.