PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 4 sept. 2026, 04:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 juil. 26, 17:111 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
100%
0%
Règles
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 13, 2026, and prior to the End Date listed below, a U.S. Senate seat becomes vacant, by any means sufficient to trigger vacancy replacement procedures as defined in the 17th Amendment.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
Marchés ouverts
Politics
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 782,1 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
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+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 181,3 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be another Senate vacancy in 2026? ?
- PredictIt cote No à 100% au 4 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be another Senate vacancy in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be another Senate vacancy in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will there be another Senate vacancy in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- PredictIt règle ce marché comme suit : This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on July 13, 2026, and prior to the End Date listed below, a U.S. Senate seat becomes vacant, by any means sufficient to trigger vacancy replacement procedures as defined in the 17th Amendment.<br /><br />PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.<br /><br />End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)