Will Trump's 538 favorability rating be 37.4% or higher on April 14?
Polymarket
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes
Résolu: 18 avr. 2023, 20:02
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 150 jours
Obsolète10 avr. 23, 21:5014 avr. 23, 0:00
Tendances
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump's favorability rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight is greater than or equal to 37.4% for the day of April 14, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve according to the datapoint for April 14 as soon as a datapoint for April 15 becomes available. This market may not resolve until the April 15 datapoint is available.
- If no datapoint for April 14 is available by April 15, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous favorability rating to April 14.
- The resolution source is Trump's 538 favorability rating currently available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/, specifically the Indigo line labeled "Favorable."
- Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.