Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 123 jours
Obsolète16 sept. 21, 0:0022 nov. 21, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Règles
This is a market on whether the United States will report a 7-day average of under 75,000 COVID-19 cases between September 15, 2021 and November 15, 2021 inclusive.
- This market will resolve on data from the CDC's Data Tracker, specifically, the 7-day moving average of COVID-19 cases for the United States, which is available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (navigate to "Select a state or territory" and select “United States”, and then scroll to "Data Table for Daily Case Trends" and view the data in the "7-Day Moving Avg" column, which is able to be sorted in descending order).
- The resolution source will be reviewed once daily at 8 PM ET, to see if the United States reported a 7-day COVID-19 case average between September 15 and November 15 inclusive of below 75,000.
- If an average below 75,000 is detected, it will be checked again 7 days later.
- If it is still under 75,000 at that point, the market will be resolved.
- If it is 75,000 or above, then the market will not resolve based on that data point.