Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
0.4 pts (24h)
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 20+
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
20+ 100%+23.1ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
127 k €
Liquidité
569,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeVariation 7j
-84.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 112 jours
Obsolète24 mars 26, 17:0830 avr. 26, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
20+82%
80+1%
60+1%
40+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and April 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.