Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by which date?
10.9 pts (24h)
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
April 30 100%+10.9ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
83,7 k €
Liquidité
12,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+79.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 129 jours
Obsolète29 janv. 26, 3:4331 mai 26, 0:00
Tendances
100%
100%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Rai-Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.8088° N, 37.8573° E) between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of Rai-Oleksandrivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.