Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 87%
Qualite du marche
79 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
3,4 k €
Liquidité
19,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
86.0% / 88.0%
Spread
2.3%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
8 juil. 26, 1:5230 juin 27, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes87%
Tendance du volume
$3.8k8 juil.2j de données9 juil.
Marchés Associés
Clacton by-election Winner
658,9 k €Nigel Farage: 91%
POLYMARKET
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Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
2,8 k €Labour: 0.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Clacton By-Election - Winner
2 k €Conservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETSWhich party will win the Clacton by-election?
1,2 k €Reform UK: 85.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.