Will Lee hit the US as a tropical storm?
Weather
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Résolu: 26 sept. 2023, 08:49
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
17 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
0.0% / 100.0%
Spread
100.0 pt
Spread largeVariation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 123 jours
Obsolète13 sept. 23, 0:1325 sept. 23, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical storm system currently named Lee makes landfall in the conterminous US as a tropical storm, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/LEE.shtml).
- If Lee does not hit the United States by September 25, 2023 ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Lee is not officially reported to be tropical storm at its time of landfall in the conterminous US or dissipates without making landfall in the conterminous US, this market shall resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, a tropical storm is defined as a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph (34 to 63 knots), as described at https://www.weather.gov/mob/tropical_definitions, and a landfall is said to occur when the tropical storm's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Lee has made landfall in the conterminous US at tropical storm strength strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
