Will Idalia hit Florida as Category 4 hurricane?
Weather
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Résolu: 31 août 2023, 05:47
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 123 jours
Obsolète30 août 23, 6:1830 août 23, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Idalia makes landfall in Florida as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?).
- If Idalia is not officially reported to be Category 4 at its time of landfall in Florida or dissipates without making landfall in Florida, this market shall resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Idalia has made landfall in Florida at Category 4 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Idalia hit Florida as Category 4 hurricane? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 100% au 25 avril 2026.
- Quand Will Idalia hit Florida as Category 4 hurricane? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Idalia hit Florida as Category 4 hurricane? doit être résolu le 30 août 2023.
- Comment Will Idalia hit Florida as Category 4 hurricane? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Idalia makes landfall in Florida as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?).