PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%+0.1pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
127,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
1.6% / 14.4%
Écart
12.8 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
12 juin 26, 15:20 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US government force another frontier AI model shutdown for allied users by mid-2027?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026.
- Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
- If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
- The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).