Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany?
Politique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 122 jours
ObsolèteChronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
This is a market on whether Armin Laschet, leader of the CDU party, will win an upcoming German chancellor’s election.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Armin Laschet is the next elected chancellor, and “No” otherwise.
- The 2021 German federal election is expected to be held on September 26, 2021, after which either a chancellor may be elected and appointed, or a new federal election will be held and the process will repeat.
- This market will resolve only when there is a successful chancellor’s election, meaning once a chancellor has been both elected by the Bundestag and appointed by the president.
- For instance, if the first round of elections is inconclusive and Merkel remains chancellor in the meantime, and the second round is won by Laschet, this market will resolve as "Yes." This market will resolve according to the German government’s website (https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-en/chancellor) and the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service (protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp).
- In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 100% au 25 avril 2026.
- Comment Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market on whether Armin Laschet, leader of the CDU party, will win an upcoming German chancellor’s election.