PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes (100%)
Résolu: 12 juil. 2026, 19:59
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelleOui 100%+0.7%
Qualite du marche
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
28,1 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 52 minutes
En retard8 juil. 26, 0:5012 juil. 26, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
No0%
Yes100%
100%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Tendance du volume
$32.1k8 juil.5j de données12 juil.
Marchés Associés
Which company has best AI model end of July?
168,9 k €Anthropic: 95%POLYMARKET
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KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin?
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Anthropic IPO by __?
28 k €December 31,: 66%POLYMARKET
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16,1 k €claude-opus-4-6: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
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POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
Anthropic restores AI models Fable, Mythos after the U.S. lifts export controlsCoindesk
Anthropic to bring back Fable 5 as US lifts export controlsCointelegraphRègles
On July 7, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 12, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2074548242386178258).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces a qualifying extension of access to "Claude Fable 5" beyond July 12, 2026, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying extension requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans.
- An extension covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify.
- The percentage cap itself is irrelevant to qualification (higher, lower, unchanged, or removed all count), so long as some portion of the included allowance can be spent on Fable without drawing from a usage-credit balance.