Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August?
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes
Résolu: 30 août 2023, 22:04
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 147 jours
Obsolète1 août 23, 17:0231 août 23, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between August 1 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market may only resolve to "No" after August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
- For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL
- This market will resolve based on an initial announcement released by NOAA that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? ?
- Polymarket cote Yes à 100% au 31 mars 2026.
- Quand Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? doit être résolu le 31 août 2023.
- Comment Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between August 1 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as listed on the National Hurricane Center website (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/). If no tropical systems with hurricane status make landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".