Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15?
Weather
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 122 jours
Obsolète16 sept. 21, 0:0015 oct. 21, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
This market shall resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States between the launch of this market, September 16, 2021 at 3:00 PM ET, and 11:59:59 PM ET on October 14, 2021 as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories.
- The status of the hurricane at landfall and the approximate time of landfall as reported in the advisory indicating landfall will be used to resolve this market.
- If no tropical systems make landfall as hurricane status between the launch of this market and October 14, this market shall resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at ttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- No retrospective analyses after the advisory indicating landfall will have any bearing on the resolution of this market.
