PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Afford / Affordable / Affordability 57%+7.0ptEn tête parmi 15 options
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,2 k €
Liquidité
913 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
83.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
12 sept. 26, 00:32 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- If no such announcement happens by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
- If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office (https://www.youtube.com/@NYCMayorsOffice).
- Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · Afford / Affordable / Affordability 75%
