Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
0.1 pts (24h)
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (100%)
Résolu: 2 juin 2026, 18:21
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
No
À 7 jours
98%
À 24 heures
—
Probabilité implicite actuelleNon 100%
Qualite du marche
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
135,7 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
- / 0.1%
Variation 7j
-2.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 54 jours
Obsolète31 mars 26, 21:4531 mai 26, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
0%
100%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 100% | — | 135,7 k € | 0 € | il y a 54 jours | |
 Manifold Markets77% de correspondance · auto | — | 100% | — | — | — | il y a 57 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? [Polymarket]
Fermés
Résolu
Non (99.7%)
99.7%
0.3%
Prévision communautaire318 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.