Probabilité implicite actuelle
Raphael Glucksmann 66.7%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
121,9 €
Liquidité
82,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
11
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
13 juil. 26, 23:15 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Winner of France’s presidential election
FutuurHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
- If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.