Probabilité implicite actuelle
Google 59%+27.0%En tête parmi 32 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
4,7 k €
Liquidité
58,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
58.0% / 59.0%
Spread
1.7%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
21 juil. 26, 0:5531 août 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Google59%
Tendance du volume
$5.4k21 juil.6j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
9,1 k €SpaceX: 86%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
7,1 k €Anthropic: 75%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of August?
6,8 k €Anthropic: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many successful SpaceX launches in July 2026 UTC
1,2 k €8 or fewer: 0.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Starship flight 15 happen?
1,2 k €Before 2026-09-01: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
818,5 €Before 2024-10-01: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).