Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 9%+2.5ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
24,5 €
Liquidité
9,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
-8.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
21 mai 26, 21:05 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Linda Sanchez win the California 38th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Linda Sanchez win the California 41st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Consumer Confidence Index be above 80 in December 2026?
ForecastExVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by the named outcome, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister.
- Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
