PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democrat 15-20% 18%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
199 €
Liquidité
51,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
5 août 26, 20:25 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner
PolymarketNew York Governor Election Winner
PolymarketNew York Governor Election: Turnout
PolymarketNew York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew York Governor Winner
GeminiWill Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The 2026 New York gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3 k €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3 k €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- 2,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 358,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New York Governor Election Margin of Victory ?
- Polymarket cote Democrat 15-20% à 18% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand New York Governor Election Margin of Victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- New York Governor Election Margin of Victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment New York Governor Election Margin of Victory est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 New York gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.