PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Ben Ray Luján (D) 96%+0.3pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
24,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
95.4% / 97.9%
Écart
2.5 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
-0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
13 oct. 25, 21:36 UTC3 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Gemini — New Mexico US Senate Winner · Ben Ray Lujan 98%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 New Mexico Senate Race · Democrat 98%
- Également disponible sur Smarkets — New Mexico Senate Election Winner · Democrat 97%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — New Mexico Senate winner? · Ben Ray Luján 97%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3 k €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3 k €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New Mexico Senate Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote Ben Ray Luján (D) à 96% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand New Mexico Senate Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- New Mexico Senate Election Winner doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment New Mexico Senate Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- Où New Mexico Senate Election Winner est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Gemini, Robinhood (Rothera), Smarkets, Kalshi.