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Données au 9 sept. 2026, 01:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
<$2.50T 50%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
100.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
5 août 26, 11:59 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill Apple have a higher market cap than Microsoft at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI be more valuable than Microsoft before 2040?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?
PolymarketWill Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
- If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
- Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time.
- If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class.
- Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
- The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 96,6 k €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote <$2.50T à 50% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Microsoft’s Market Cap end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.