PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 18:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Republican Party 93.1%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
22,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
93.0% / 95.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète28 janv. 26, 21:393 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 945,4 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 601 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 résultats de plus
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour MI-01 House Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote Republican Party à 93% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand MI-01 House Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- MI-01 House Election Winner doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment MI-01 House Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.