PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 99%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
40,7 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
1.1% / 1.3%
Écart
0.2 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
19 août 26, 19:58 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
PolymarketT-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
PolymarketTrump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
PolymarketWill Virginia regulators approve the Dominion-NextEra merger?
KalshiWill the U.S. actually pay Greenlanders to support the acquisition?
Manifold MarketsWill Paramount's acquisition of Warner Bros be concluded in 2026?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Merck & Co. (MRK) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Moderna (MRNA), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying merger or acquisition must encompass both MRK and MRNA or their subsidiaries.
- An announcement by MRK or MRNA within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
- A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify.
- Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company announces the acquisition of a controlling interest in the other company.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- IPOs before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 99% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Merck & Co. (MRK) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Moderna (MRNA), or vice versa, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.