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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection
PolymarketPolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais

Ce marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.

Probabilité implicite actuelle
Gallrein 9%+
Gallrein 9%+ 99%-0.1%
En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche

56 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

30,3 €

Liquidité

36,6 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

0.1% / 0.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread large
Variation 7j

+0.1%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes

18 mai 26, 15:1819 mai 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Gallrein 9%+
Gallrein 9%+
-0.1%
99%
Gallrein 6-9%
Gallrein 6-9%
+0.1%
1%
Massie 6%+
Massie 6%+
0%
Gallrein 3-6%
Gallrein 3-6%
0%
Massie 3-6%
Massie 3-6%
0%
Gallrein <3%
Gallrein <3%
0%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

KalshiÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Fermés

Résolu

Ed Gallrein, 5-10% (95%)

Ed Gallrein, 10-15%
Ed Gallrein, 10-15%
1%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%
0%
Ed Gallrein, ≥20%
Ed Gallrein, ≥20%
0%

+7 résultats de plus

44 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenne
Volume total41,2 k €
Volume 24h63,8 €
KalshiKALSHI

Règles

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
  • If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

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Règles

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
  • If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.