PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
54.0–54.9 34.6%+9.5ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,7 k €
Liquidité
4 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
35.0 pt
Spread largeComments
0
Variation 7j
+2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
4 août 26, 22:201 sept. 26, 6:00
Tendances
Règles
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Marchés ouverts
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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- Above 0+4.0pt77%
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- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote 54.0–54.9 à 35% au 25 août 2026.
- Quand ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 doit être résolu le 1 septembre 2026.
- Comment ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).