Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

2.0% (24h)5j

PolymarketNon disponible aux États-UnisSans KYC2% de frais

Qualite du marche 63 • Qualite moyenneMarché peu profond

Alertes

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Aide à la décision

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Tisza <9% 37%

Qualite du marche

63 / 100

Qualite moyenne

Achat / Vente

36.0% / 38.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes

Dernière mise à jour: 6 avr., 0:06

Se resout

12 avr. 2026, 00:00

Volume 24h

636 €

Liquidité

65,2 k €

Spread

5.6%

Spread modéré

Variation 7j

Liquidité moyenneMarché peu profondAmbiguïté élevée

Début 31 mars 2026, 20:04Fin 12 avr. 2026, 00:00

Tendances

Aucune donnée de graphique disponible.

Résultat24hProbabilité

Tisza <9%

-2.0%37%

Other

-21%

Tisza 9-12%

+1.0%13%

Tisza 15-18%

+0.5%12%

Tisza 18%+

+0.5%11%

Tisza 12-15%

-10%

Règles

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

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