How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: <3
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
<3 100%+58.3ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 151 jours
Obsolète2 avr. 26, 22:4011 avr. 26, 0:00
Tendances
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve according to the number of geomagnetic storms, solar radiation storms, or radio blackouts with a severity level of 3 or greater which occur between April 5, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 11, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
- This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
- If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#)
- If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.