Probabilité implicite actuelle
Sagal Abdi-Wali 65.3%-5.0ptEn tête parmi 23 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
78 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
2,4 k €
Liquidité
164,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
5
Variation 7j
+6.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
1 sept. 26, 16:14 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
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0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Labour to Win
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
- If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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- J.D. Vance50%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote Sagal Abdi-Wali à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2027.
- Comment Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- Où Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi, Smarkets.