PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
70-71°F 32.4%+2.5ptEn tête parmi 11 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,2 k €
Liquidité
24,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
13 sept. 26, 16:58 UTC15 sept. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
PolymarketLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 15?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 14, 2026?
GeminiLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
PolymarketHighest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 14, 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Miami+37.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+10.0pt43%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 215,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 204,5 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- 79° to 80°+26.0pt60%
- 81° to 82°-14.0pt22.7%
- 83° or above-6.0pt9.1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+77.0pt78.2%
- 90° to 91°-32.0pt17.3%
- 92° to 93°-34.0pt1.8%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- 74° to 75°+37.0pt80%
- 76° to 77°+2.0pt16.2%
- 73° or below-39.0pt0.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–16-1.0pt49.5%
- 17–19-0.5pt29.3%
- 11–1315.2%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 14, 2026?
- 72° to 73°+43.0pt61.6%
- 74° to 75°-20.0pt19.2%
- 71° or below+12.0pt14.1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 15?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? ?
- Polymarket cote 70-71°F à 32% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? doit être résolu le 15 septembre 2026.
- Comment Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
- Où Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 15? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi, Gemini.