PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democrat 98%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
23,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
2.6 pt
Spread modéréComments
0
Variation 7j
+0.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
13 oct. 25, 23:273 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm Josh Green 98% · 2 plateformes · bande de 4 pt
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Hawaii Governor winner? · Josh Green 98%
- Également disponible sur Gemini — Hawaii Governor Winner · Josh Green 97%
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.0pt19.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt15.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.9%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 162,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.8pt22%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt15%
+125 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+1.1pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.1pt14%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11%
+125 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+1.1pt4%
+29 résultats de plus
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+1.0pt62%
- Ralph Norman-3.0pt29.6%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Hawaii Governor Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote Democrat à 98% au 23 août 2026.
- Quand Hawaii Governor Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- Hawaii Governor Election Winner doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Hawaii Governor Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
- Où Hawaii Governor Election Winner est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi, Gemini.