Probabilité implicite actuelle
15%+ 85.4%+5.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
137,1 €
Liquidité
43,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
83.0% / 92.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread largeVariation 7j
+24.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
4 juil. 26, 0:5730 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
15%+88%
Tendance du volume
$1564 juil.25j de données28 juil.
Marchés Associés
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
137,1 k €United Russia (ER): 57%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
91,8 k €Marine Le Pen: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election Winner
54,9 k €Nigel Farage: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
554,8 €Oui: 7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
465,3 €Richmond and Northallerton [Rishi Sunak]: 30.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Clacton By-Election - Winner
458,2 €Conservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Le Pen jumps to 33% in France 2027 race, volume tops $114MBlockchain.News%20Abstract%20Cryptocurrency.%20With%20a%20dark%20background%20and%20a%20world%20map-min.jpg)
Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jumpBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot tops Israel PM market at 42.7% on $26.9MBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as 2028 field stays fragmentedBlockchain.NewsRègles
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the final round of the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election.
- The final round will be the first round if a candidate wins outright, or the runoff if no candidate wins outright.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.