PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 99%+0.1pt
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidité
23,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
0.2% / 0.8%
Écart
0.6 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
22 sept. 26, 21:07 UTC29 sept. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28?
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KalshiWhich Trump children will be indicted or arrested by the midterm elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abbas Araghchi is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest occurs when Araghchi is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
- (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
- The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify.
- The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Marchés ouverts
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- Jon Ossoff15.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 résultats de plus
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- 198,6 M €
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- 1,2 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.5pt91%
- Republican Party9%
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- Troy Jackson-7.0pt63.7%
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+0.9pt13%
+50 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-5.0pt60.6%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39.4%
- Volume total
- 9,2 M €
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- 572,2 k €
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- Democrats sweep-5.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate+4.0pt31%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt8%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 99% au 25 septembre 2026.
- Quand Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28? doit être résolu le 29 septembre 2026.
- Comment Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abbas Araghchi is arrested between market creation and September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.