MyriadProbabilité implicite actuelle
Spain 11.2%+0.2%En tête parmi 20 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
-
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
24 févr. 26, 15:3119 juil. 26, 19:00
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Spain11%
Comparer les plateformes· France
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketLa plus active | 33% | -1pt | 42,2 M € | 61,2 M € | il y a 7 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Kalshi | 33% | -1pt | 30,5 M € | 703,7 M € | il y a 1 minute | Ouvrir → |
 Rothera | 36% | +2pt | 10,9 M € | 45,7 M € | il y a 15 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Limitless | 34% | 0pt | 4,8 k € | 0 € | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 36% | +2pt | — | — | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| MyriadCette page | 56% | +22pt | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 15 minutes | |
| Manifold Markets | 33% | -1pt | — | — | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets | 35% | +1pt | — | — | il y a 13 heures | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
World cup 2026 winner
11j
-3.6%0.9%
+1.9%17.7%
-0.2%35.5%
+6 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire19 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total2 k €
Volume 24h291,2 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
9.7%2a
+9.7%19%
+0.9%2%
-2.1%6%
+45 résultats de plus
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total951,1 M €
Volume 24h30,5 M €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Rothera
World Cup 2026: Winner
12j
19%
1%
4%
+10 résultats de plus
77 • Haute qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total10,9 M €
Volume 24h10,9 M €
ROTHERAÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Which country will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11j
+7.4%19.2%
0%
-0.2%35%
+38 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire110 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total71,1 k €
Volume 24h4,8 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Which team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11j
0%
0%
0%
+45 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire135 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total75,3 k €
Volume 24h3,5 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
World Cup Winner
0.8%11j
-0.4%33%
-0.2%19%
+11.8%19%
+57 résultats de plus
89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total3,6 Md €
Volume 24h42,2 M €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Limitless
World Cup Winner
3mo
18%
34%
16.4%
+6 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total162,7 k €
Volume 24h4,8 k €
LIMITLESSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
World Cup Winner
5j
3%
7%
19%
+5 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire12 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total1,6 k €
Volume 24h0 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup?
10j
-3.5%14.6%
-2.9%17.1%
-0.7%35.2%
+14 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire59 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total12,2 k €
Volume 24h101,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Which Team will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Fermés
0.2%
5.3%
16.5%
+40 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire172 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total89,2 k €
Volume 24h0 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner
11j
0%
-4.5%35.4%
+0.1%13.6%
+47 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire704 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total720,9 k €
Volume 24h109,6 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
### **Market Dates:**
- **Market Period:** From the publication date until July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.
- **Market Close:** July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC, right before the World Cup Final kicks off.
- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined once official results are published by the governing body of the tournament.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **national team that officially wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup**. - In case a team that is not represented by its own bracket wins, this market resolves to “Other” - The result will be based solely on official FIFA confirmation. - If the confirmed winner is later removed, stripped of the title, or disqualified after the market has already resolved, this will not affect the settled outcome.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
France vs Morocco: Goalscorer
1,3 M €Kylian Mbappe: 1+: 55%KALSHI
KALSHI
France vs Morocco: First Half Winner
145,3 k €Morocco wins 1st Half: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
World Cup Semifinal Matchup
47,2 k €Norway vs Argentina: 28%KALSHI
KALSHI
World Cup: Morocco Stage of Elimination
32,3 k €Quarterfinals: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
World Cup: Lionel Messi Goals
23 k €1+: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich teams will make it to the semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3,9 k €Canada: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Ronaldo says World Cup goodbye as Polymarket Golden Ball odds sit at 50%Blockchain.News
England beats Mexico, Polymarket keeps Golden Ball leader at 50%Blockchain.News
Germany out on pens, Polymarket keeps 5+ missed kicks favored at 45.45%Blockchain.News
Azteca showdown vs Ecuador nudges Mexico to 43.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Scotland routed by Brazil as Polymarket pegs Iraq group exit at 98%Blockchain.News
World Cup boom sends Polymarket volume up 300% while Kalshi sets open interest recordsThe BlockRègles
### **Market Dates:**
- **Market Period:** From the publication date until July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.
- **Market Close:** July 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC, right before the World Cup Final kicks off.
- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined once official results are published by the governing body of the tournament.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **national team that officially wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup**. - In case a team that is not represented by its own bracket wins, this market resolves to “Other” - The result will be based solely on official FIFA confirmation. - If the confirmed winner is later removed, stripped of the title, or disqualified after the market has already resolved, this will not affect the settled outcome.