Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 95.1% au 29 octobre 2026.

Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 95.1%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 heure

En retard

11 févr. 24, 18:49 UTC1 janv. 30, 21:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Will we have (and put in a comment below) an automated system that will explain chess moves logic in free text?

Requirements:
Will be available for free, as a service or open source project that I can run on a regular computer.
Will work with any reasonable real-life chess positions.
Will explain the motivation for a specific move, both for easy moves ("white recapture the queen") and more advanced logic ("aiming for exchanges to defend from the kingside attack")
Will not hallucinate at all in my testing.