Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 84.1%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète1 juin 24, 15:21 UTC31 déc. 49, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032?
Manifold Marketswill trump be assasinated in US?
Manifold MarketsDid Jeffrey Epstein kill himself?
Manifold MarketsWill the Ninth Circuit allow Kalshi's sports contracts in 2026?
PredictItTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Usain Bolt's 100m record still stands far ahead of the best times set in the 15 years since.
- Most of the other top flight sprinters of his era have since been caught doping.
- Will Usain Bolt too?
- Confession, conviction, retested samples or universally accepted accusations a la Lance Armstrong would all count.
Marchés ouverts
Sports
KALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Volume total
- 12,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,2 M €
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Volume total
- 15,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 M €
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Usain Bolt be exposed as a drugs cheat by 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 84% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Usain Bolt be exposed as a drugs cheat by 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Usain Bolt be exposed as a drugs cheat by 2050? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2049.
- Comment Will Usain Bolt be exposed as a drugs cheat by 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Usain Bolt's 100m record still stands far ahead of the best times set in the 15 years since.