Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 juin 25, 00:03 UTC21 janv. 29, 01:01 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if Donald Trump publicly suggests that the NASA vehicle currently known as Space Launch System / Orion be renamed to include the word "Trump".
- Either the rocket or the capsule or both must be the target of the suggestion.
- A smaller component or a mission (ex.
- Artemis 2) will not count.
- Resolves NO at noon on Jan 20th, 2029.
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump suggest renaming SLS to Trump Launch System (or similar)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Donald Trump publicly suggests that the NASA vehicle currently known as Space Launch System / Orion be renamed to include the word "Trump".