Will Trump serve any time in a jail or prison by July 4th, 2029, for any past or new convictions?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineCriminalité et justice2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète27 juil. 25, 15:31 UTC5 juil. 29, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market predicts whether President Donald Trump will serve any time in jail or prison before July 4th, 2029, for his past convictions or any new charges brought against him during his current presidency.
- As of July 2025, Trump has been convicted on multiple counts related to hush money payments but received an unconditional discharge, meaning no jail time.
- He has also filed a formal notice to appeal this conviction.
- Additionally, his administration has faced numerous legal challenges, including defamation lawsuits and executive orders being blocked by federal judges.
- The market will resolve to 'Yes' if Trump serves any time in jail or prison before July 4th, 2029, and 'No' otherwise.
- Resolution will be based on credible news reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, AP News, and official court documents.
