Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard16 mars 26, 10:04 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Timothee Chalamet win an Oscar before the 5th Bitcoin halving?
Manifold MarketsWill Timothee Chalamet and Kylie Jenner announce their engagement before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?
Manifold MarketsTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
Kalshi#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
KalshiLatin Grammy Awards · Song of the Year
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Timothée Chalamet wins an Academy Award (in any category) before January 1, 2030.
- Resolution will be verified via the official Academy Awards website or major entertainment news outlets reporting the award win.
- The market resolves NO if he does not win an Oscar by the deadline.
- Chalamet has received four Academy Award nominations, most recently at the 2026 Oscars.
- He was previously nominated for Call Me by Your Name in 2018 and A Complete Unknown in 2025, and was nominated for Best Actor in a Leading Role for his portrayal of Marty Mauser in Marty Supreme at the 2026 ceremony.