Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 04:02 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 96.2%
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète9 nov. 24, 10:07 UTC17 nov. 28, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tim Walz be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the democrat ticket in 2028 be Tim Walz and AOC as President/VP in either order?
Manifold MarketsWill Tim Walz run for an elected office before EOY 2030
Manifold MarketsTim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
KalshiTim Walz charged by which date?
PolymarketWill Tim Walz resign by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria clarification:
- Market resolves YES if Tim Walz makes a credible declaration to run for President in 2028
- He only needs to show measurable signs of being serious about running
- He does NOT need to win the Democratic nomination
- Update 2026-02-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Formal announcement + credible attempt at raising funds would very likely be sufficient for YES resolution.