Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 07:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 65.1%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète2 oct. 22, 08:26 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
KalshiWill Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland hold a referendum on leaving the UK before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2100?
Manifold MarketsNorthern Ireland Assembly election winner?
KalshiRègles
This question resolves to yes once a polling date is announced and that poll is seen as legitimate by the Irish Times and the Times of London newspapers.
