Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 65.1%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète2 oct. 22, 08:26 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030?
Manifold MarketsNorthern Ireland Assembly Elections: Most seats
SmarketsWill Ireland give up its neutrality before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a united Ireland by 2034?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRègles
This question resolves to yes once a polling date is announced and that poll is seen as legitimate by the Irish Times and the Times of London newspapers.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will there be a border poll in Northern Ireland on Irish reunification by the end of 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves to yes once a polling date is announced and that poll is seen as legitimate by the Irish Times and the Times of London newspapers.