Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67.9%
Prévisionnistes
64
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète30 mars 23, 12:21 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves true if any of the following conditions is met in any 12 month period before 2030/1/1.
- The USD accounts for less than 40% of all global foreign exchange reserves held by central banks.
- The USD is used in less than 60% of all international trade and financial transactions, including commodities, debt obligations, and investments.
- The USD is pegged or linked to no other currencies or to currencies that are legal tender in countries accounting for less than 5% of the world population at the time.
- The currencies can be linked directly or indirectly, through exchange rate regimes or currency boards.
- Update 2026-02-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Condition 1 (USD percentage of global foreign exchange reserves): Gold may be included in the denominator when calculating the USD's share.
