Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleneither before EOY 2027 86%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 22:34 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Will there be a senator or house rep (delegates and non voting members count) that affiliates with the greens or libertarians before EOY 2027? If so, what happens first? If happens on same day, resolves 50/50.
- If neither happens before EOY 2027, resolve to that.
- For this market, affiliation with any green or libertarian party location division counts.
- So if they decide to affiliate with the Alaskan Libertarian party, that would count as liberterian.
- Must be that party at time of swearing in, or if they change to it during the term, that’s fine.
- Prior affiliation doesn’t count.
