Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
ActionsOne-OffTechPolitique américaine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.5%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète3 févr. 25, 23:15 UTC1 janv. 29, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Will resolve true if at any time a credible source reports money from the fund being directly invested in Blackstone/TPG directly, or a subsidiary of either.
- Will resolve false if this does not happen by December 31 2028 (including if the fund is not actually established)
- *I.e., not through an index
- **25 Aug 2025: will still resolve false if the shares are purchased directly by the USG and no fund is ever created
- Update 2025-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Direct Investment Clarification:
- Only a direct investment in Blackstone or TPG (or a subsidiary of either) qualifies as a resolution event.
