Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 53.1%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète9 juin 25, 17:24 UTC31 déc. 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Central banks around the world keep big “rainy-day” funds called foreign-exchange (FX) reserves.
- These reserves are mostly held in a few major currencies—like the U.S. dollar, the euro, etc—so a country can pay its international bills or stabilize its own currency.
- Every three months the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publishes a report, called COFER (Currency Composition of Official Foreign Exchange Reserves), that shows exactly what share of those global reserves sits in each currency.
- As of 2024, about 58% of the money in those reserves is in U.S. dollars.
- This question asks if the dollar’s share will ever fall below 50% before January 1, 2040 which will indicate the U.S. Dollar loosing its reserve currency status.
- Resolution Criteria:
