Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
1 oct. 26, 00:26 UTC31 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Crude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketBitcoin all time high by which date?
PolymarketWill Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
Manifold MarketsEthereum all time high by which date?
PolymarketSolana all time high by which date?
PolymarketWill Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
LimitlessRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Oct 30, 2026, is within 1% of its all-time high.
- If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.".
- If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
- AH trading cannot and will not be counted, it does not have anything to do with final close
- Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high
