Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 76.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
1 nov. 26, 01:57 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Crude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketEthereum all time high by which date?
PolymarketBitcoin all time high by which date?
PolymarketSolana all time high by which date?
PolymarketWill Bitcoin's AUD price hit a new all-time high before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Nov 30 2026, is within 1% of its all-time high.
- If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.".
- If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
- AH trading cannot and will not be counted, it does not have anything to do with final close
- Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high
