Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 83.9%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète8 févr. 24, 20:18 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Oscars loosen rules on AI tool use by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich of these people will attend the 2027 Oscars ceremony?
Manifold MarketsToronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
KalshiThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
KalshiWho will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
They just added a new award for best achievement in casting.
- Anything for stunt people, stunt coordinators, stunts, etc. in the future?
- It's long overdue.
Marchés ouverts
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-5.7pt54.5%
- Lamine Yamal+5.4pt23.2%
- Kylian Mbappé+1.0pt11.1%
+28 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 31 M €
- Volume 24h
- 364,1 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN17%
- AMAN+2.0pt12%
- CCAR+2.0pt12%
+28 résultats de plus
KALSHIToronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
- I Play Rocky25.6%
- La bola negra16.2%
- The Debut15.4%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 19,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 19,8 k €
GEMINIWho will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Harry Kane55.5%
- Lamine Yamal27%
- Kylian Mbappe14%
+28 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 158,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12 k €
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-1.0pt60.7%
- Resident Evil Requiem-2.0pt12.8%
- Control Resonant-2.0pt6%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETMLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- Lionel Messi-6.3pt53%
- Petar Musa+2.5pt38%
- Brian White+2.7pt3%
+25 résultats de plus
- Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
- EPL: 2026-27 Player of the Season
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year
- CMA Awards: Entertainer of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Choreography
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 84% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Will the Oscars have an award for stunt workers by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : They just added a new award for best achievement in casting.