Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 88.8%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète5 mai 25, 02:31 UTC31 déc. 49, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the domino-toppling world record be broken before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the hurricane wind speed record be broken before 2028?
Manifold MarketsSingle Season Sack Record Broken
KalshiSingle Season Rushing Yards Record Broken
KalshiSingle Season Receiving Yards Record Broken
KalshiIn what year will a bipedal robot break the human mile world record time?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves yes if the record is affirmed by World Athletics.
- If World Athletics goes defunct I will consider whatever the closest equivalent is.
- Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The time must be faster than the current world record (as of now).
- If the current WR is later vacated and a slower time becomes the WR, breaking that later WR without beating the current record does not count.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 586,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 568,4 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Volume total
- 108,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 108,2 k €
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2049.
- Comment Will the men's 100m world record be broken before 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes if the record is affirmed by World Athletics.