Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 88.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
5 mai 25, 02:31 UTC31 déc. 49, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the domino-toppling world record be broken before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the men's Hammer Throw world record be broken by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsAll-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?
PolymarketNYC Marathon Male Open Division Course Record to be Broken
KalshiWill the hurricane wind speed record be broken before 2028?
Manifold MarketsSingle Season Sack Record Broken
KalshiRègles
Resolves yes if the record is affirmed by World Athletics.
- If World Athletics goes defunct I will consider whatever the closest equivalent is.
- Update 2025-09-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The time must be faster than the current world record (as of now).
- If the current WR is later vacated and a slower time becomes the WR, breaking that later WR without beating the current record does not count.